CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x845cc75e94bf7f6a051b33914e318d409cd87686253a3df959d76a248c36c757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Voca | 21c | 2,903$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.24 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Voca | 26c | 2,825$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.4 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Voca | 19c | 2,759$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.6 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Voca | 19c | 2,522$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.76 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Voca | 19c | 2,454$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.67 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG | 64c | 1,391$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.37 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Voca | 19c | 1,323$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Voca | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Voca | 15c | 964.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG | 68c | 728.86$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Voca | 7c | 660.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked NRG | 79c | 632.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Voca | 16c | 491.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed NRG | 66c | 477.73$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Voca | 6c | 442.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed NRG | 74c | 421.85$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Voca | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Voca | 4c | 397.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NRG | 77c | 379.96$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked NRG | 66c | 363.03$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Voca | 18c | 354.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Voca | 36c | 341$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed NRG | 60c | 327.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Voca | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Voca | 5c | 299.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked NRG | 70c | 294.4$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…0b0abacked Voca | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked NRG | 74c | 286.84$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NRG | 64c | 252.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Voca | 37c | 247.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 77c | 238.18$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 77c | 224.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Voca | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked NRG | 80c | 198.08$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG | 77c | 197.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed NRG | 74c | 154.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8e3fbacked NRG | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked NRG | 75c | 147.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Voca | 40c | 138.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked NRG | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed NRG | 74c | 133.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Voca | 13c | 117.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Voca | 23c | 104.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Voca | 30c | 96.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Voca | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed NRG | 67c | 95.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed NRG | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Voca | 38c | 70.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Voca | 17c | 59.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed Voca | 40c | 53.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked NRG | 76c | 52.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed NRG | 67c | 50.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Voca | 31c | 48.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Voca | 28c | 41.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked NRG | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NRG | 76c | 38.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed NRG | 79c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed NRG | 65c | 34.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed NRG | 68c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NRG | 80c | 24.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed NRG | 62c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed NRG | 66c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.