Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1757295078d5a5a0a77594d4d7d2f0520efe074c2dfd57cb39e37c23dcb30429
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 24c | 7,303$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.54 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 5,074$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.98 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 1c | 4,640$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 20c | 3,103$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.93 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 24c | 1,615$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.68 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes | 58c | 1,381$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 1,201$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.68 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 875.18$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.26 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 77c | 860.63$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 42c | 788.5$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.17 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 24c | 768.38$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 12c | 504.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 502.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 74c | 458.39$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…5b48backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed No | 56c | 337$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 43c | 270$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 229.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 80c | 182.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 24c | 177$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 22c | 169.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 25c | 76.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 57c | 69.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…63fcbacked No | 78c | 58.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 58.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…ae86backed No | 75c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…99c8backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.