CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17afaf86fd6c49888aa4c172a7d003dbc6d030973581f0f437a316ce5903b465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof Nuclear TigeRES, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 55c | 2,982$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.88 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 1,332$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 21c | 715.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 499.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 437.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 44c | 316$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 287.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 271.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed 1WIN | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Nuclear TigeRES | 14c | 214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 53c | 212.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Nuclear TigeRES | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed 1WIN | 60c | 169.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 16c | 118.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…08c5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed 1WIN | 49c | 70.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 68.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 58.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 1WIN | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 1WIN | 47c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.