CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17de4138b92b90221eee0ea29645b97e1dbe4bbb94bbb1663232329b2319f965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,095 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 70c | 3,687$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Game Hunters | 31c | 1,630$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.3 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed ShindeN | 69c | 1,594$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.65 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Game Hunters | 23c | 1,097$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.07 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…a1c6backed Game Hunters | 31c | 773$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.63 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Game Hunters | 30c | 750$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…0504backed ShindeN | 71c | 436.78$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Game Hunters | 16c | 386.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…e2a2backed ShindeN | 69c | 356$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Game Hunters | 23c | 349.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…51d0backed ShindeN | 69c | 318$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Game Hunters | 30c | 292.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Game Hunters | 30c | 254$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Game Hunters | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Game Hunters | 30c | 247.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Game Hunters | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Game Hunters | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked ShindeN | 72c | 130.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Game Hunters | 29c | 125.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Game Hunters | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Game Hunters | 31c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Game Hunters | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Game Hunters | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…599ebacked ShindeN | 69c | 99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…51b7backed Game Hunters | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Game Hunters | 32c | 89.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Game Hunters | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Game Hunters | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Game Hunters | 34c | 71.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked Game Hunters | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Game Hunters | 30c | 60.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Game Hunters | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Game Hunters | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Game Hunters | 32c | 45.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Game Hunters | 28c | 36.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98a…fba5backed Game Hunters | 32c | 34.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.