CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17de452b4da007eebbcb0e9d024e06b4f737d5796f4bf8afa2d34d2f2e5ad270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof STATE, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ENCE | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 758 | 57%432 W · 326 L | +49.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked STATE | 48c | 1,245$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.57 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked STATE | 52c | 1,139$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.53 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…a961backed ENCE | 57c | 1,047$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ENCE | 51c | 1,045$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.7 | 448 | 55.6%249 W · 199 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5c5ebacked ENCE | 44c | 1,031$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed STATE | 51c | 1,013$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.33 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 52c | 646.53$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.59 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed ENCE | 42c | 521.02$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.31 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7800backed STATE | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed STATE | 52c | 228$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 611 | 42.7%261 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed STATE | 42c | 214.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 452 | 43.6%197 W · 255 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked STATE | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 44.9%184 W · 226 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ENCE | 61c | 186.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked STATE | 46c | 142.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ENCE | 47c | 141.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed STATE | 49c | 141$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed STATE | 50c | 82.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 696 | 71.7%499 W · 197 L | +120.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked STATE | 50c | 77.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked STATE | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,549 | 51.3%795 W · 754 L | -11.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked STATE | 51c | 59.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed STATE | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed STATE | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE | 49c | 43.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed STATE | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked ENCE | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ENCE | 49c | 39.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed STATE | 41c | 36.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,161 | 42.2%490 W · 671 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed ENCE | 58c | 34.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked STATE | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed STATE | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed STATE | 47c | 23.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 549 | 49.4%271 W · 278 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs ENCE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta PlayoffsSTATE won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs ENCE - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.