CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1828fff13bebc4a62ac35f5494dd22fa9e9e735d6b307c1c63bc501639b8f026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof Leo Team, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,302 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481d…9098backed The Last Resort | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 67c | 2,445$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.4 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Leo Team | 71c | 2,100$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed The Last Resort | 30c | 700.24$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.17 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed The Last Resort | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort | 50c | 577.21$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.88 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed The Last Resort | 30c | 429.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.35 | 461 | 43.4%200 W · 261 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort | 40c | 420.16$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.48 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Leo Team | 68c | 325.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 59c | 296.21$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked The Last Resort | 30c | 293$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Leo Team | 38c | 286.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Leo Team | 32c | 282.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked The Last Resort | 49c | 269.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed The Last Resort | 52c | 251.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Leo Team | 5c | 249.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leo Team | 33c | 209.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed The Last Resort | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked The Last Resort | 65c | 202.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Leo Team | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Leo Team | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Leo Team | 46c | 180.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed The Last Resort | 70c | 175$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed The Last Resort | 58c | 157$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed The Last Resort | 32c | 155.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Leo Team | 57c | 155$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Leo Team | 69c | 144.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked The Last Resort | 58c | 128.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Leo Team | 56c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed The Last Resort | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…7678backed Leo Team | 45c | 100.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed The Last Resort | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Leo Team | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked The Last Resort | 52c | 98.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked The Last Resort | 36c | 94.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…6a7abacked The Last Resort | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked The Last Resort | 66c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked The Last Resort | 66c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Leo Team | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Leo Team | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Leo Team | 44c | 52.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed The Last Resort | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Leo Team | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked The Last Resort | 63c | 42.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked The Last Resort | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…80fcbacked The Last Resort | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked The Last Resort | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed The Last Resort | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed The Last Resort | 39c | 28.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed The Last Resort | 58c | 27.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed The Last Resort | 55c | 27.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Leo Team | 63c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Leo Team | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Leo Team | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Leo Team | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Leo Team | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Leo Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Leo Team | 68c | 18.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 956 | 49.7%475 W · 481 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed The Last Resort | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…964fbacked The Last Resort | 64c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs The Last Resort - Map 1 WinnerThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.