CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2c3cab0af819daad1aee2e7a1dd1a360ec7efc7dfdaff22393bb007aab5805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof Leo Team, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,996 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 50c | 3,718$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…8501backed The Last Resort | 62c | 2,908$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed The Last Resort | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Leo Team | 28c | 1,475$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.29 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leo Team | 47c | 1,158$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.71 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked The Last Resort | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.98 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 33c | 987.54$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leo Team | 40c | 636$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked The Last Resort | 57c | 606.22$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.92 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Leo Team | 50c | 582.74$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.37 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked The Last Resort | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…284bbacked The Last Resort | 54c | 478.91$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Leo Team | 47c | 425.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed The Last Resort | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Leo Team | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked The Last Resort | 51c | 268.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Leo Team | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Leo Team | 43c | 140.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed The Last Resort | 58c | 126$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Leo Team | 28c | 106.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Leo Team | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Leo Team | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked The Last Resort | 53c | 65.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…21c2backed The Last Resort | 50c | 64.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Leo Team | 53c | 54.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…7c38backed Leo Team | 34c | 54.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Leo Team | 28c | 53.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Leo Team | 44c | 52.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Leo Team | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked The Last Resort | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Leo Team | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Leo Team | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Leo Team | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Leo Team | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Leo Team | 52c | 42.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed The Last Resort | 71c | 33.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked The Last Resort | 74c | 26.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Leo Team | 54c | 26.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Leo Team | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed The Last Resort | 71c | 22.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.