Tennis · resolved market
ITF Marburg: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Calvin Mueller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d38d74deff47ba7e9deb1d3209cdab2e8cefd7b1a00d2fc7d404f4f21766ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Calvin Muellerof Imanol Lopez Morillo, Calvin Mueller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 32c | 3,119$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.74 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Calvin Mueller | 68c | 1,801$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.38 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Calvin Mueller | 68c | 651.47$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Calvin Mueller | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 8c | 148$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Calvin Mueller | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 36c | 103.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Calvin Mueller | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Calvin Mueller | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Calvin Mueller | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Calvin Mueller | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Calvin Mueller | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Calvin Mueller | 67c | 43.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 32c | 43.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Calvin Mueller | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Calvin Mueller | 64c | 19.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.