TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Nicholls Colonels vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southeastern Louisiana Lionsof Nicholls Colonels, Southeastern Louisiana Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9121…bd6cbacked Nicholls Colonels12c7,713$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.216136.1%22 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Nicholls Colonels23c3,763$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.255024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Nicholls Colonels7c2,755$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3846446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Nicholls Colonels12c1,003$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+114.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions77c579.42$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.582,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nicholls Colonels7c496.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.781,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions54c300.31$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions45c289.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.51,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions54c277.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5352928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions77c256.12$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.171,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nicholls Colonels26c255$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.993,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Nicholls Colonels13c205$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nicholls Colonels44c203.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.632,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4217062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Nicholls Colonels46c131.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9253646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Nicholls Colonels46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Nicholls Colonels22c80.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions45c72.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.042,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions77c51.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.078341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions71c51.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Nicholls Colonels22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Nicholls Colonels46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Nicholls Colonels46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Nicholls Colonels46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.674,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Nicholls Colonels42c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.961,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51758.8%10 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.72470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions63c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2931837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.