Tennis · resolved market
ITF Las Palmas: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Shannon Lam
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198f218641104ba5d97518b6de71e27c7353fd3d92ba46bba9ba3ec44260b81e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carmen Gallardo Guevaraof Carmen Gallardo Guevara, Shannon Lam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 64c | 21,729$13,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,836.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Shannon Lam | 38c | 16,248$6,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,136.93 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Shannon Lam | 31c | 6,311$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 71c | 210.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 64c | 105.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 50c | 59.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 71c | 51.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Shannon Lam | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shannon Lam | 35c | 38.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…e212backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Shannon Lam | 49c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shannon Lam | 49c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Shannon Lam | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.