Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19aec833866406e2066cd9ae0210dcdc115660766aa58d6bed67ec179619f85a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 781.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 765$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 20c | 539$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.6 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 394.79$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 329.7$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 233.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 35c | 145$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +99%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 30c | 68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…3c5bbacked No | 70c | 58.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 65c | 57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 70c | 43.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 73c | 33.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 18.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked No | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.