Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ad5d7af974bd365aa26b83f893018c22edcbe58db961894d644936b3a30872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 43c | 20,001$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 43c | 4,765$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.93 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 3,983$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.44 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,390$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 1,121$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.67 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 850$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed No | 56c | 816.07$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…57f5backed Yes | 45c | 541.24$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 38c | 342.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 305$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 287$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…a629backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 43c | 249.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…3c5bbacked No | 55c | 213.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 11c | 148$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 132.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 113.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 21c | 68.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 61.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 57c | 58.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 36.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Yes | 46c | 26.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 44c | 22.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.