Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19da3dc6ec3f518697c0e503bebec97bf4b075bc4e2325567b7eb96e51aaf77a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof California-San Diego Tritons, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 61c | 1,649$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 67c | 1,488$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.22 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed California-San Diego Tritons | 41c | 1,217$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 955$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.02 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 66c | 917.79$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 831.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California-San Diego Tritons | 34c | 450$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 35c | 366.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 68c | 336.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 37c | 312$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed California-San Diego Tritons | 30c | 147.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California-San Diego Tritons | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…20eebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…8929backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 28.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.