NHL · resolved market
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Malmoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a32fcb39c019aa7de7f62a7d4742d2f89d5f9934d99f50d7a42a336cd4b4649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djurgaardenof Djurgaarden, Malmoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,948 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Djurgaarden | 56c | 1,295$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Malmoe | 43c | 1,275$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.84 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Djurgaarden | 57c | 1,217$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.99 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Malmoe | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Djurgaarden | 55c | 827.26$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.19 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Malmoe | 30c | 739.67$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.06 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Djurgaarden | 38c | 499.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.99 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Malmoe | 45c | 443.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Malmoe | 61c | 361.48$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Malmoe | 44c | 243.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Djurgaarden | 53c | 121.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Malmoe | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Malmoe | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Djurgaarden | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Djurgaarden | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Malmoe | 44c | 80.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Malmoe | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Djurgaarden | 56c | 79.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Malmoe | 45c | 79.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Malmoe | 61c | 77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Djurgaarden | 56c | 61.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Malmoe | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Malmoe | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Djurgaarden | 56c | 44.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Djurgaarden | 56c | 41.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Djurgaarden | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Djurgaarden | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Malmoe | 44c | 37.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Malmoe | 43c | 36.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Malmoe | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Malmoe | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Malmoe | 69c | 17.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.