Fifa International · resolved market
Will Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a77fad3575f1d66b0e9afa6311b02e6e5bd90d7fe67e779861f91a4b3fa03ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 15c | 4,400$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.02 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 2,803$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.82 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,149$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,132$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 14c | 950.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bf…f543backed Yes | 17c | 553.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 4c | 528$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 14c | 342.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Yes | 16c | 302.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…e70bbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 17c | 200.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 21c | 177.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…77dcbacked Yes | 16c | 166.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Yes | 16c | 162$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…0eabbacked Yes | 17c | 144.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 14c | 140.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 16c | 112.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…d8eabacked Yes | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 16c | 105.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Yes | 16c | 104.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 15c | 69.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…068ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 26c | 57.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…861bbacked Yes | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?this page
- Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-06-05?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.