Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a7faa658adc527b52fafe86e8674e12bac93ca454e2aa4621a793bae439e89e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 4,606$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 3,186$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.54 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,311$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 5c | 946.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 725.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 701.43$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 3c | 682.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked No | 68c | 353$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 32c | 334.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 72c | 315.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 151.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 67c | 134.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 10c | 113.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 93.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 88.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 79.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 59.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…af37backed Yes | 34c | 54.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 43.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 67c | 30.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 69c | 28.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 71c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.