CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ad167d649c69fa413cea55d1bdbc4fc40279c28956053c55e27a13a3136bd8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof FOKUS, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 55c | 1,094$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Infinite | 60c | 706.5$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.01 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOKUS | 38c | 625.42$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Infinite | 64c | 615.94$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked FOKUS | 47c | 550$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…78c2backed FOKUS | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Infinite | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed FOKUS | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked FOKUS | 40c | 254.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FOKUS | 36c | 201.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed FOKUS | 38c | 182.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked FOKUS | 41c | 133.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked FOKUS | 34c | 115.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed FOKUS | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed FOKUS | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed FOKUS | 40c | 49.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed FOKUS | 37c | 43.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed FOKUS | 40c | 38.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FOKUS | 41c | 37.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed FOKUS | 40c | 37.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Infinite | 55c | 33.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Infinite | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Infinite | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Infinite | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group BInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerInfinite won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5)FOKUS won
- Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)Infinite won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.