CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbec1bda01b8e2fffa00a5bef6de4ac4606c5a85f909c1043b82442b2897e6bd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof Infinite, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 50c | 2,377$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite | 59c | 1,845$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.38 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed FOKUS | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Infinite | 72c | 1,443$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.63 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked FOKUS | 33c | 1,374$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.08 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked FOKUS | 52c | 1,350$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.5 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Infinite | 50c | 1,336$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.08 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS | 40c | 1,211$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 51c | 1,154$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed FOKUS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Infinite | 54c | 923.37$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.33 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Infinite | 50c | 875.01$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.74 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Infinite | 53c | 851.15$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.2 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS | 54c | 792.92$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.86 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Infinite | 34c | 659.3$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.23 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed FOKUS | 69c | 579.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Infinite | 41c | 555.3$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS | 55c | 553.1$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed FOKUS | 13c | 552$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked FOKUS | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Infinite | 53c | 265.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked FOKUS | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Infinite | 52c | 245.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Infinite | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS | 56c | 188.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Infinite | 53c | 163.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Infinite | 49c | 160.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed FOKUS | 59c | 132.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Infinite | 41c | 123.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed FOKUS | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Infinite | 50c | 107.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 45c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FOKUS | 57c | 84.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked FOKUS | 50c | 83.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Infinite | 57c | 64.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Infinite | 62c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed FOKUS | 76c | 59.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed FOKUS | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…f37ebacked FOKUS | 38c | 55.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked FOKUS | 59c | 49.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked FOKUS | 53c | 45.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS | 49c | 42.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…9d45backed FOKUS | 49c | 41.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FOKUS | 65c | 40.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Infinite | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed FOKUS | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…fe1abacked Infinite | 50c | 34.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FOKUS | 39c | 33.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Infinite | 68c | 31.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Infinite | 70c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Infinite | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group BInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerInfinite won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5)FOKUS won
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)Infinite won
- Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)Infinite won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.