Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Ignacio de Armas vs Benjamin Perez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae508d2298e142ce6b9f4740b92e5dfa5c9ee4cdb5c0a7ee9de8b2b1698357a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ignacio de Armasof Ignacio de Armas, Benjamin Perez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ignacio de Armas | 52c | 3,449$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Benjamin Perez | 48c | 1,116$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.72 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Benjamin Perez | 61c | 1,029$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Benjamin Perez | 37c | 744.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Benjamin Perez | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Benjamin Perez | 35c | 509.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Ignacio de Armas | 42c | 429.66$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.42 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ignacio de Armas | 47c | 375.62$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Benjamin Perez | 55c | 361.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Ignacio de Armas | 50c | 249.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Ignacio de Armas | 41c | 225$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Benjamin Perez | 54c | 210.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ignacio de Armas | 56c | 182.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Benjamin Perez | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ignacio de Armas | 53c | 112.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Benjamin Perez | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ignacio de Armas | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Benjamin Perez | 61c | 99.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Ignacio de Armas | 24c | 91.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Benjamin Perez | 57c | 78.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ignacio de Armas | 58c | 63.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Ignacio de Armas | 45c | 58.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Ignacio de Armas | 42c | 53.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Ignacio de Armas | 26c | 45.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Benjamin Perez | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Benjamin Perez | 79c | 38.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Benjamin Perez | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Benjamin Perez | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Ignacio de Armas | 41c | 35.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Ignacio de Armas | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Ignacio de Armas | 50c | 32.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Ignacio de Armas | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Benjamin Perez | 57c | 26.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Benjamin Perez | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…b976backed Benjamin Perez | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…efd3backed Benjamin Perez | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.