Lol · resolved market
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1afc957140c086cc5c795be6fa94f9d32b481f264f527a3c318738a3945b6f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GMBLERS ESPORTSof Colossal Gaming, GMBLERS ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Colossal Gaming | 7c | 10,000$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.01 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 42c | 606.74$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Colossal Gaming | 58c | 529.74$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Colossal Gaming | 44c | 228.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 65c | 209.58$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 146 | 28.8%42 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Colossal Gaming | 39c | 190.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Colossal Gaming | 65c | 154.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 48c | 131.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Colossal Gaming | 64c | 128.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 35c | 117.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 113.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Colossal Gaming | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 299 | 42.8%128 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Colossal Gaming | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Colossal Gaming | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Colossal Gaming | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 1 WinnerColossal Gaming won
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 2 WinnerGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 4 WinnerColossal Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.