La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b34855dc3d2d5e7418c9bb0fa6f46f34180a83c9a9055e3bd6d051aeb9a8525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 653.02$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 599.98$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 560.56$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 67c | 439.71$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 405.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.52 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 343.64$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 337.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 269.95$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 45c | 212.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 148.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 107.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Under | 62c | 102.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 37c | 95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 41c | 89.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 88.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 84.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 55c | 80.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 41c | 71.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Under | 51c | 66.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…523bbacked Over | 45c | 60.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 48.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 41.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Under | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Over | 76c | 33.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 52c | 30.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 66c | 28.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 59c | 27.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 56c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 19.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…42d1backed Under | 60c | 17.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.