Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Elmer Moeller vs Felix Balshaw
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ba3dc0804e9a2da68bdab26adc0ee1923764d732aad9a6b7c3b5f5ee1d3055d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felix Balshawof Elmer Moeller, Felix Balshaw
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Felix Balshaw | 51c | 3,377$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.96 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elmer Moeller | 49c | 2,609$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.63 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Elmer Moeller | 44c | 2,446$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.49 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Felix Balshaw | 57c | 994.94$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elmer Moeller | 7c | 970.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Elmer Moeller | 9c | 812.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Felix Balshaw | 46c | 588.7$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.9 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Elmer Moeller | 29c | 362.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Felix Balshaw | 69c | 306.74$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Felix Balshaw | 50c | 299$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elmer Moeller | 48c | 291.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Felix Balshaw | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Elmer Moeller | 21c | 235.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Felix Balshaw | 50c | 229$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Elmer Moeller | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Felix Balshaw | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Felix Balshaw | 75c | 166.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Felix Balshaw | 52c | 160.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Elmer Moeller | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Felix Balshaw | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Felix Balshaw | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Felix Balshaw | 48c | 139.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Elmer Moeller | 49c | 138.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Felix Balshaw | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Felix Balshaw | 43c | 128$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Elmer Moeller | 50c | 120.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Elmer Moeller | 51c | 119.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Felix Balshaw | 79c | 104.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Felix Balshaw | 48c | 104.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Elmer Moeller | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elmer Moeller | 12c | 91.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Elmer Moeller | 52c | 84.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Elmer Moeller | 33c | 82.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Felix Balshaw | 47c | 81.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Felix Balshaw | 44c | 76.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Felix Balshaw | 72c | 73.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Elmer Moeller | 20c | 69.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Elmer Moeller | 50c | 68.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Elmer Moeller | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked Elmer Moeller | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Felix Balshaw | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Felix Balshaw | 62c | 48.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Elmer Moeller | 31c | 43.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Felix Balshaw | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Felix Balshaw | 66c | 41.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Felix Balshaw | 74c | 41.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Elmer Moeller | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…e957backed Elmer Moeller | 54c | 36.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elmer Moeller | 44c | 36.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Elmer Moeller | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Felix Balshaw | 51c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Felix Balshaw | 53c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Elmer Moeller | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Felix Balshaw | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Felix Balshaw | 69c | 18.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Felix Balshaw | 75c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.