Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Iryna Shymanovich vs Sinja Kraus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bcb89e4fc55318b22191045832d7d957e655d660205e145f0ee441f69f43e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krausof Shymanovich, Kraus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Shymanovich | 21c | 1,379$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Kraus | 76c | 789.58$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shymanovich | 31c | 748.82$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Shymanovich | 18c | 598.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Shymanovich | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kraus | 79c | 497.13$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Shymanovich | 24c | 475.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shymanovich | 11c | 468.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shymanovich | 5c | 448.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kraus | 65c | 431.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Shymanovich | 35c | 417$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Shymanovich | 25c | 410.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Shymanovich | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Kraus | 63c | 278.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Kraus | 68c | 278$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Shymanovich | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shymanovich | 30c | 152.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kraus | 65c | 145.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Kraus | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Shymanovich | 10c | 124.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Shymanovich | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kraus | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed Shymanovich | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kraus | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Kraus | 71c | 94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shymanovich | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…5e2ebacked Shymanovich | 34c | 62.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Shymanovich | 34c | 60.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Shymanovich | 36c | 52.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Shymanovich | 45c | 44.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Shymanovich | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kraus | 70c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Shymanovich | 38c | 31.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Kraus | 72c | 30.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kraus | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.