Tennis · resolved market
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Tereza Martincova vs Camila Osorio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd0e64cd066301f4f5cfbf573ea7c290eefb098ae82571b3576d93d6f5d8748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camila Osorioof Tereza Martincova, Camila Osorio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafac…8730backed Tereza Martincova | 5c | 5,061$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Tereza Martincova | 4c | 4,539$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Tereza Martincova | 19c | 3,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Tereza Martincova | 9c | 2,466$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tereza Martincova | 10c | 2,236$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Tereza Martincova | 14c | 2,068$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.39 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Tereza Martincova | 5c | 1,116$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tereza Martincova | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tereza Martincova | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Tereza Martincova | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Tereza Martincova | 6c | 790.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Tereza Martincova | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tereza Martincova | 18c | 642.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tereza Martincova | 16c | 402.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Tereza Martincova | 16c | 321$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Tereza Martincova | 10c | 296.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Tereza Martincova | 4c | 292$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Tereza Martincova | 4c | 274.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Tereza Martincova | 4c | 252.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Tereza Martincova | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Tereza Martincova | 18c | 89.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Tereza Martincova | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.