NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c70c4b4d0b096415c0bac6f5aa3a06d0b47b2a53e1fee799c4c358cb1863688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 3,431$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.27 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Traktor | 41c | 2,769$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.29 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Traktor | 39c | 476.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Traktor | 40c | 465.1$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 450.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.74 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…ba62backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 403.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Traktor | 39c | 246.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Traktor | 37c | 189$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Traktor | 41c | 122.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Traktor | 41c | 109.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Traktor | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Traktor | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Traktor | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 70.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 55.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 50.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3faf…31d3backed Traktor | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 48.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Traktor | 41c | 36.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Traktor | 43c | 33.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 27.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 58c | 27.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Traktor | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 19.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.