Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dream Esports vs GD Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c71e43b1ae99e1069cf59362bbe537c5cadc64ac32dc3b5041bad2a3704c695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dream Esportsof Dream Esports, GD Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GD Esports | 34c | 247.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed GD Esports | 26c | 227.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dream Esports | 69c | 147.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed GD Esports | 62c | 135.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Dream Esports | 34c | 123$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dream Esports | 75c | 97.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dream Esports | 57c | 93.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked GD Esports | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Dream Esports | 30c | 67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dream Esports | 32c | 65.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…7393backed GD Esports | 23c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Dream Esports | 56c | 54.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GD Esports | 23c | 53.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed GD Esports | 31c | 46.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Dream Esports | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked GD Esports | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Dream Esports | 68c | 19.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dream Esports | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.