Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Daniil Sarksian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cfde12b2a67e2db10b5c2b3c6042a92d823d8cd3b5e513b21a6d6e1be0a44b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Bocchiof Lorenzo Bocchi, Daniil Sarksian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Daniil Sarksian | 36c | 3,212$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.87 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 72c | 1,688$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 64c | 859.65$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.58 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Daniil Sarksian | 21c | 476.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Daniil Sarksian | 27c | 448.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 61c | 317.78$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Daniil Sarksian | 28c | 220.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 58c | 210.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 59c | 168.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 64c | 135.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…99c0backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 73c | 123.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 69c | 88.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Daniil Sarksian | 37c | 67.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 63c | 58.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 48c | 45.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 68c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniil Sarksian | 35c | 43.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 77c | 42.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…0fd6backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 50c | 28.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.