Euroleague · resolved market
Granada vs. Manresa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2669992a5b524bdd0de4fda0b0b046fe8b45d95fbb8fef88b9499bb39bf7cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Granadaof Granada, Manresa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Manresa | 63c | 1,581$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Granada | 41c | 1,103$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.43 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Granada | 33c | 243$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Manresa | 63c | 239.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Granada | 37c | 143.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Granada | 38c | 112.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Granada | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Manresa | 60c | 98.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manresa | 51c | 82.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Granada | 39c | 81.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Granada | 80c | 80.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Granada | 36c | 66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Granada | 33c | 64.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Manresa | 70c | 63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Manresa | 49c | 61.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Granada | 36c | 55.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Granada | 32c | 50.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Granada | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +107%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9f3abacked Granada | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Manresa | 62c | 39.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Granada | 42c | 35.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Granada | 61c | 33.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Manresa | 64c | 32.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Manresa | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Granada | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manresa | 56c | 24.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Manresa | 50c | 23.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Manresa | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.