Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Deren Yigin vs Samir Hamza Reguig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4c3b9861fe0d8504ac11c763cfcb0f757b2bcb0cc2d07bf1cebc90c569eb0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samir Hamza Reguigof Deren Yigin, Samir Hamza Reguig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 58c | 5,028$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.37 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Deren Yigin | 45c | 1,447$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.87 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Deren Yigin | 37c | 1,163$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.37 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Deren Yigin | 54c | 904.8$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.85 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Deren Yigin | 21c | 825.81$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Deren Yigin | 42c | 533.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.25 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Deren Yigin | 42c | 505.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Deren Yigin | 44c | 465.89$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Deren Yigin | 48c | 418$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 62c | 395$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 61c | 386.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Deren Yigin | 47c | 317.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Deren Yigin | 7c | 271.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 63c | 231.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Deren Yigin | 34c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 64c | 147$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Deren Yigin | 48c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 54c | 120.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Deren Yigin | 17c | 113.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 62c | 111.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 53c | 98.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 64c | 83.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 66c | 72.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Deren Yigin | 42c | 72.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 49c | 49.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 64c | 46.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Deren Yigin | 47c | 45.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 62c | 43.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Deren Yigin | 38c | 29.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 48c | 28.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Deren Yigin | 50c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 62c | 21.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 64c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.