CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d5b057a14d76dd21f4456ac67c4cdd24543f04d50784bdec45e63330bce5e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, The Huns Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x988d…9899backed The Huns Esports | 9c | 7,313$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked The Huns Esports | 15c | 6,637$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed The Huns Esports | 6c | 4,487$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.74 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked The Huns Esports | 7c | 4,415$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed The Huns Esports | 8c | 3,256$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed The Huns Esports | 10c | 2,542$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.73 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed The Huns Esports | 8c | 2,308$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Huns Esports | 11c | 2,293$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.23 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed The Huns Esports | 7c | 2,120$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked The Huns Esports | 6c | 1,801$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed The Huns Esports | 8c | 1,425$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed The Huns Esports | 7c | 1,400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed The Huns Esports | 4c | 1,240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked The Huns Esports | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked The Huns Esports | 7c | 959.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…e91abacked The Huns Esports | 11c | 751.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked The Huns Esports | 7c | 739.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 393 | 42.5%167 W · 226 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed The Huns Esports | 7c | 714.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed The Huns Esports | 7c | 693.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…1301backed The Huns Esports | 6c | 573.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked The Huns Esports | 3c | 568.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed The Huns Esports | 6c | 519$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed The Huns Esports | 8c | 511.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…ef7cbacked The Huns Esports | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Huns Esports | 8c | 466.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed The Huns Esports | 12c | 456.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…fa12backed The Huns Esports | 7c | 403.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed The Huns Esports | 15c | 312.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked The Huns Esports | 8c | 274.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked The Huns Esports | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked The Huns Esports | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…34d0backed The Huns Esports | 6c | 212.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed The Huns Esports | 7c | 209.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed The Huns Esports | 13c | 167.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked The Huns Esports | 8c | 165.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…8475backed The Huns Esports | 9c | 124.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed The Huns Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.