CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e9ab190a2b5476e037623d49764158e3c2526e095164fdd8aa809df5e56a66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, The Huns Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked The Huns Esports | 19c | 2,109$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked The Huns Esports | 12c | 1,693$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed The Huns Esports | 11c | 1,250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed The Huns Esports | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked The Huns Esports | 11c | 1,174$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed The Huns Esports | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed The Huns Esports | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed The Huns Esports | 10c | 656.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked The Huns Esports | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked The Huns Esports | 12c | 550.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed The Huns Esports | 12c | 547$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed The Huns Esports | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked The Huns Esports | 11c | 450.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked The Huns Esports | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e3…0d66backed The Huns Esports | 10c | 408.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed The Huns Esports | 11c | 339.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed The Huns Esports | 12c | 327.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked The Huns Esports | 11c | 291.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…b7aabacked The Huns Esports | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed The Huns Esports | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked The Huns Esports | 15c | 136.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Huns Esports | 11c | 113.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed The Huns Esports | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked The Huns Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed The Huns Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked The Huns Esports | 12c | 82.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.