CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78dd8854836ae2b0e9922e1d4fb5952447294257e9b49ba14911368dcf0f77a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 75c | 2,658$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Over | 27c | 2,027$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,537$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 25c | 1,237$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.37 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Over | 26c | 1,180$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Under | 69c | 1,096$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.23 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 24c | 669.4$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 79c | 520.91$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Under | 67c | 520.91$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 74c | 504.91$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 15c | 502.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 28c | 353.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 33c | 272.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 25c | 270$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 72c | 269.2$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 25c | 194.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 73c | 112.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 26c | 94.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e3…0d66backed Over | 27c | 93.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 25c | 92.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Under | 73c | 67.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 31c | 38.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Under | 73c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 74c | 14.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.