CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5937ee60e20e5a6560e5f1fc5972fc0fa80e307d90aceba9ef7fe6621d1e9440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, The Huns Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 5,451$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.08 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked The Huns Esports | 30c | 2,862$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.22 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed The Huns Esports | 31c | 2,016$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.08 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,337$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed The Huns Esports | 28c | 1,123$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,117$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.15 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed The Huns Esports | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed The Huns Esports | 32c | 822.13$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.08 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 666$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Huns Esports | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed The Huns Esports | 29c | 506.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked The Huns Esports | 31c | 418$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed The Huns Esports | 31c | 379.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked The Huns Esports | 31c | 368.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 351.05$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed The Huns Esports | 31c | 295.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed The Huns Esports | 32c | 286.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked The Huns Esports | 32c | 280.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 274.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed The Huns Esports | 30c | 258.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked The Huns Esports | 28c | 220.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed The Huns Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 199.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 177.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…2bcbbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 140.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 134.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed The Huns Esports | 31c | 129.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 100.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 85.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed The Huns Esports | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked The Huns Esports | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 58.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 56.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6acebacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 48.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed The Huns Esports | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed The Huns Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 35.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed The Huns Esports | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed The Huns Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed The Huns Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 24.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.