Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fucsovics vs Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6248550a7053331825f9c1ccce4bcb3ca2b90078492f3e68b4bbe7c0a9ed4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Fucsovics, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fucsovics | 58c | 706.48$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.08 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Tien | 57c | 528.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.07 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Tien | 39c | 479.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.83 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fucsovics | 72c | 391.8$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tien | 57c | 304.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fucsovics | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fucsovics | 54c | 185.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tien | 65c | 171$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tien | 70c | 155.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Tien | 32c | 150.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Fucsovics | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tien | 43c | 143.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fucsovics | 35c | 134.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Fucsovics | 47c | 119.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Tien | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fucsovics | 69c | 107.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Tien | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fucsovics | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Fucsovics | 36c | 79.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fucsovics | 59c | 79.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Tien | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Tien | 59c | 57.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Tien | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tien | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Tien | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Fucsovics | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Tien | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f923backed Tien | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Fucsovics | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fucsovics vs Tienthis page
- Marton Fucsovics vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)Fucsovics won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Fucsovics (+2.5)Fucsovics won
- Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner TienMarton Fucsovics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.