Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8895a6a11ed784893f085dbd01d0c23f68d2647227e4e8f8c446b49eec5b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yufei Renof Yufei Ren, Rina Saigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rina Saigo | 15c | 1,410$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Yufei Ren | 75c | 615.1$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Rina Saigo | 14c | 535.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Rina Saigo | 25c | 527.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rina Saigo | 12c | 409.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Rina Saigo | 22c | 335.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rina Saigo | 13c | 332.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yufei Ren | 68c | 331.53$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rina Saigo | 13c | 283.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Yufei Ren | 66c | 228.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Rina Saigo | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rina Saigo | 20c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Yufei Ren | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Rina Saigo | 41c | 117.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Rina Saigo | 10c | 103.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Yufei Ren | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Rina Saigo | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…925dbacked Rina Saigo | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rina Saigo | 22c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Rina Saigo | 23c | 84.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rina Saigo | 16c | 75.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rina Saigo | 25c | 75.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Yufei Ren | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Rina Saigo | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yufei Ren | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Yufei Ren | 64c | 49.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yufei Ren | 76c | 43.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Yufei Ren | 64c | 37.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yufei Ren | 62c | 36.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Rina Saigo | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yufei Ren | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Yufei Ren | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Rina Saigo | 38c | 27.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Yufei Ren | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yufei Ren | 65c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.