Tennis · resolved market
Austin: Yue Yuan vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0a0b35c82ba1f04697aa6691d6461217b3cf44a39a14aaa4afca460496d486
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oksana Selekhmetevaof Yue Yuan, Oksana Selekhmeteva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yue Yuan | 25c | 7,071$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.59 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 63c | 6,601$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 51c | 1,951$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.53 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yue Yuan | 44c | 1,925$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.98 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yue Yuan | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yue Yuan | 47c | 1,646$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.9 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 67c | 1,524$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.56 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yue Yuan | 32c | 980.42$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yue Yuan | 39c | 915.24$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.46 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 48c | 666.6$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.63 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yue Yuan | 33c | 519.91$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yue Yuan | 40c | 467.27$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yue Yuan | 11c | 438$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 41c | 412.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Yue Yuan | 40c | 351.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yue Yuan | 49c | 289.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.83 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 77c | 285.59$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yue Yuan | 34c | 248.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yue Yuan | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 54c | 207.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yue Yuan | 36c | 203$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yue Yuan | 20c | 124.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 70c | 121.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yue Yuan | 50c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yue Yuan | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…a418backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yue Yuan | 28c | 96.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yue Yuan | 49c | 81.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 62c | 76.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 58c | 74.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yue Yuan | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yue Yuan | 40c | 62.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Yue Yuan | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 48c | 60.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yue Yuan | 49c | 56.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Yue Yuan | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Yue Yuan | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64c…92c7backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 48c | 43.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Yue Yuan | 36c | 41.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Yue Yuan | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 47c | 37.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Yue Yuan | 41c | 31.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yue Yuan | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yue Yuan | 42c | 28.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yue Yuan | 43c | 27.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yue Yuan | 44c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yue Yuan | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.