Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Katherine Sebov vs Tatjana Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e13f448d6f66b98c1db0ff7e923961f60743185e8dce16c93d8805026193615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tatjana Mariaof Katherine Sebov, Tatjana Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Katherine Sebov | 19c | 17,083$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.13 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katherine Sebov | 11c | 9,225$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.55 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Katherine Sebov | 19c | 8,349$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Katherine Sebov | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Katherine Sebov | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Katherine Sebov | 21c | 1,686$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katherine Sebov | 19c | 1,561$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.51 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Katherine Sebov | 19c | 1,394$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Katherine Sebov | 27c | 1,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.45 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Katherine Sebov | 12c | 940.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Katherine Sebov | 27c | 834$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.18 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Katherine Sebov | 18c | 677.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Katherine Sebov | 18c | 622.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Katherine Sebov | 14c | 545.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Katherine Sebov | 19c | 505.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Katherine Sebov | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Katherine Sebov | 19c | 414.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Katherine Sebov | 16c | 334.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Katherine Sebov | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Katherine Sebov | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Katherine Sebov | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Katherine Sebov | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Katherine Sebov | 17c | 202.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Katherine Sebov | 20c | 199.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Katherine Sebov | 19c | 196.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Katherine Sebov | 27c | 188.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Katherine Sebov | 27c | 188.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Katherine Sebov | 18c | 185.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Katherine Sebov | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Katherine Sebov | 16c | 150.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Katherine Sebov | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Katherine Sebov | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Katherine Sebov | 13c | 125.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Katherine Sebov | 19c | 105.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Katherine Sebov | 19c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Katherine Sebov | 27c | 70.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Tatjana Maria | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Katherine Sebov | 28c | 59.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Tatjana Maria | 78c | 28.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Tatjana Maria | 77c | 22.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.