MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e1fa806dbac60fac635f7ee3fa3f2333ed6f57286c19d4b7a2a01d6df271f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof LG Twins, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2618…39f9backed LG Twins | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 23c | 1,118$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed NC Dinos | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LG Twins | 36c | 1,013$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.32 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 66c | 691.15$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 605.85$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed LG Twins | 43c | 358.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked LG Twins | 65c | 306.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed LG Twins | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LG Twins | 41c | 273.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 37c | 219.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf818…d23dbacked LG Twins | 71c | 214.49$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 64c | 200.46$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 36c | 182.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed LG Twins | 25c | 147.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed NC Dinos | 35c | 146.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 35c | 134.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked LG Twins | 34c | 132.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bedabacked LG Twins | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 63c | 93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed LG Twins | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 39c | 89.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed NC Dinos | 79c | 87.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 31c | 86.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed LG Twins | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed LG Twins | 51c | 78.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 25c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed NC Dinos | 29c | 64.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked LG Twins | 58c | 59.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 78c | 56.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed NC Dinos | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed NC Dinos | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed NC Dinos | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 38c | 52.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…fd1bbacked LG Twins | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked LG Twins | 67c | 45.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NC Dinos | 69c | 42.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed NC Dinos | 36c | 33.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed NC Dinos | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed LG Twins | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 59c | 31.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…6d16backed NC Dinos | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked NC Dinos | 76c | 29.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 65c | 20.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 71c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.