Tennis · resolved market
Menorca: Dali Blanch vs Calvin Hemery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e50ca90220e5482f0ca7fe150b3df052ace8b3932e10f84c3b14b98cc0e9061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dali Blanchof Dali Blanch, Calvin Hemery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Calvin Hemery | 8c | 16,948$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Calvin Hemery | 2c | 554.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Calvin Hemery | 44c | 433.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Calvin Hemery | 4c | 341.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Dali Blanch | 60c | 324.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Dali Blanch | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Calvin Hemery | 40c | 241.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Dali Blanch | 61c | 161.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Calvin Hemery | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Calvin Hemery | 37c | 139.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Dali Blanch | 78c | 126.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Calvin Hemery | 27c | 74.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dali Blanch | 77c | 59.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Dali Blanch | 53c | 51.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Dali Blanch | 74c | 49.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Dali Blanch | 57c | 49.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Dali Blanch | 59c | 49.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…128abacked Dali Blanch | 60c | 48.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Calvin Hemery | 43c | 46.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dali Blanch | 56c | 42.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Dali Blanch | 69c | 35.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Dali Blanch | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Calvin Hemery | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Calvin Hemery | 42c | 32.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Dali Blanch | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Calvin Hemery | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…edcbbacked Dali Blanch | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…d8d4backed Dali Blanch | 60c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Calvin Hemery | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Calvin Hemery | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Dali Blanch | 66c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.