Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6bd5ab212bffd9238601f96804eb27574ff91c1b51c3e8471ff231ab79636d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cornell Big Redof Yale Bulldogs, Cornell Big Red
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cornell Big Red | 45c | 1,372$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 1,348$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.79 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 980.42$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.04 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cornell Big Red | 47c | 891.66$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.58 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Yale Bulldogs | 55c | 360.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yale Bulldogs | 56c | 218.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Cornell Big Red | 48c | 206.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Cornell Big Red | 44c | 199.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Cornell Big Red | 66c | 160.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cornell Big Red | 43c | 152$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cornell Big Red | 42c | 97.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 33c | 89.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 50.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Cornell Big Red | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Cornell Big Red | 46c | 35.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)Cornell Big Red won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big RedCornell Big Red won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 164.5Under won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 165.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.