Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e7f0a109d27ecf415f7cb4d7de5592b6222e5944f5b633d1bb77ca183961e4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 3,883$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Over | 58c | 3,109$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 42c | 1,306$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 19c | 1,249$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 606$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.48 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 313.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 44c | 263.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 222.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 43c | 214.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 57c | 168.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under | 44c | 130.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 44c | 130.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 76.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.