Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Alexandrova vs Udvardy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f296a56c53364fbb0647393d7a8180dbe8c65f54c96ff58e14c96d2abb6d636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udvardyof Alexandrova, Udvardy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Alexandrova | 73c | 1,553$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.52 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Udvardy | 27c | 1,130$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.11 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alexandrova | 60c | 399.31$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Udvardy | 60c | 259.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…3ca9backed Udvardy | 71c | 255.91$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Udvardy | 65c | 229$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Udvardy | 29c | 227.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Udvardy | 45c | 219.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Udvardy | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a7d6backed Udvardy | 70c | 201.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Alexandrova | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Alexandrova | 36c | 180.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Udvardy | 56c | 138.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexandrova | 35c | 86.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Udvardy | 27c | 78.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Alexandrova | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Alexandrova | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexandrova | 38c | 58.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Udvardy | 41c | 40.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Alexandrova | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Alexandrova | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Udvardy | 51c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Udvardy | 53c | 18.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Udvardy | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Udvardy | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Alexandrova vs Udvardythis page
- Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna UdvardyPanna Udvardy won
- Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)Udvardy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.