Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34446c183f8f54562d75911984eb177a74bbe13b215c7410c4a8336fe5d8f0c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udvardyof Alexandrova, Udvardy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Alexandrova | 64c | 7,844$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Udvardy | 36c | 5,878$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.2 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Udvardy | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Udvardy | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alexandrova | 52c | 436.44$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Udvardy | 45c | 299.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Udvardy | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Udvardy | 39c | 155$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Udvardy | 62c | 117.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Udvardy | 37c | 101.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Udvardy | 39c | 44.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Udvardy | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Alexandrova | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Alexandrova | 61c | 17.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 289 | 58.1%168 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4a…de58backed Alexandrova | 62c | 16.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)this page
- Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna UdvardyPanna Udvardy won
- Set 1 Winner: Alexandrova vs UdvardyUdvardy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.