Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ceska Lipa: Caijsa Hennemann vs Julia Avdeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f7e6580a92644cd8eec6b22403a866701d1e05673a2c955b6181c2623d4b3ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Avdeevaof Caijsa Hennemann, Julia Avdeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Caijsa Hennemann | 1c | 1,169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 5c | 246.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Julia Avdeeva | 47c | 172.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Caijsa Hennemann | 22c | 126.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 41c | 113.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Caijsa Hennemann | 52c | 107.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Julia Avdeeva | 47c | 90.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Caijsa Hennemann | 53c | 82.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Caijsa Hennemann | 18c | 79.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Caijsa Hennemann | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Caijsa Hennemann | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Julia Avdeeva | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Caijsa Hennemann | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Caijsa Hennemann | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Caijsa Hennemann | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Julia Avdeeva | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Julia Avdeeva | 55c | 26.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julia Avdeeva | 56c | 25.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julia Avdeeva | 47c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Julia Avdeeva | 67c | 22.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Julia Avdeeva | 47c | 21.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.