Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State Cougars vs. Wagner Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f91e5bd1b9a5d345564807aaeab164dbd33ab91163dd18e54defa39a72d1012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wagner Seahawksof Chicago State Cougars, Wagner Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Chicago State Cougars | 34c | 1,555$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 66c | 1,547$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago State Cougars | 11c | 509.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago State Cougars | 8c | 308.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 66c | 297.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 11c | 192.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Chicago State Cougars | 11c | 184$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Chicago State Cougars | 10c | 121.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Chicago State Cougars | 33c | 111.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago State Cougars | 34c | 100.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago State Cougars | 34c | 99.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 86.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago State Cougars | 34c | 66.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wagner Seahawks | 67c | 44.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…de47backed Chicago State Cougars | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wagner Seahawks | 75c | 29.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wagner Seahawks | 67c | 25.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Wagner Seahawks | 67c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 65c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Wagner Seahawks | 77c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Wagner Seahawksthis page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 136.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.