CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f94bf5c93855886e8241b1b666e904f0cb4979c76e534300b52d5e95a369791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,153 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 1,992$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.92 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 1,508$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.5 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed megoshort | 38c | 1,450$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked megoshort | 51c | 1,277$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed megoshort | 58c | 1,222$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.27 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 6c | 1,121$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked megoshort | 39c | 657.66$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.43 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked megoshort | 37c | 641.89$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.39 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed megoshort | 40c | 600.1$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.51 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 399$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.39 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 355.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 338.17$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed megoshort | 68c | 302.49$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 297$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort | 38c | 272.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked megoshort | 40c | 227.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed megoshort | 40c | 218.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed megoshort | 40c | 161.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed megoshort | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 142.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed megoshort | 72c | 138.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked megoshort | 74c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked megoshort | 39c | 127.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 119.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 42c | 112.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed megoshort | 40c | 106.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 100.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 78.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 19c | 74.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 71.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed megoshort | 39c | 66.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 19c | 62.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 56.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 55.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed megoshort | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 50.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 48.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 47.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed megoshort | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed megoshort | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked megoshort | 38c | 39.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 35.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 29.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked megoshort | 38c | 26.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 25.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 70c | 23.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed megoshort | 62c | 20.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 17.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)megoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.