Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Yexin Ma vs Lucrezia Stefanini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc42114fddd13fa85d45e85b5d374a1398ae1dfc898c6c2ff00b857c6535307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucrezia Stefaniniof Yexin Ma, Lucrezia Stefanini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yexin Ma | 24c | 21,744$5,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 70c | 10,055$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.05 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 71c | 347$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yexin Ma | 31c | 335.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yexin Ma | 29c | 321.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 68c | 227.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yexin Ma | 17c | 206$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Yexin Ma | 19c | 202$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yexin Ma | 19c | 166.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yexin Ma | 18c | 161.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yexin Ma | 18c | 143.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yexin Ma | 27c | 139.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yexin Ma | 12c | 132.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yexin Ma | 42c | 126$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yexin Ma | 30c | 119.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yexin Ma | 19c | 119.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yexin Ma | 18c | 114$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf9…1ce2backed Yexin Ma | 46c | 108.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yexin Ma | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Yexin Ma | 32c | 95.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yexin Ma | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yexin Ma | 25c | 77.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…96e8backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 57c | 76.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 70c | 68.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yexin Ma | 22c | 62.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 57c | 61.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yexin Ma | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 66c | 23.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Cary: Yexin Ma vs Lucrezia Stefaninithis page
- Ma vs. Stefanini: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.