Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Walid Ahouda vs Ali Yazdani
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fcab273abb393b837b13d4e1af27fd511b48a88337c89b7f74107630080ec99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walid Ahoudaof Walid Ahouda, Ali Yazdani
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Walid Ahouda | 51c | 2,762$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.38 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ali Yazdani | 49c | 2,057$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Ali Yazdani | 22c | 690$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Ali Yazdani | 71c | 422$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Ali Yazdani | 15c | 366.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Ali Yazdani | 53c | 203.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ali Yazdani | 50c | 132.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ali Yazdani | 24c | 131$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walid Ahouda | 72c | 126$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ali Yazdani | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Ali Yazdani | 36c | 98.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Ali Yazdani | 27c | 78.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ali Yazdani | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Ali Yazdani | 55c | 69.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Walid Ahouda | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ali Yazdani | 23c | 57.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Walid Ahouda | 50c | 55.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ali Yazdani | 26c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Ali Yazdani | 20c | 51.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Ali Yazdani | 71c | 38.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…ab4cbacked Walid Ahouda | 74c | 37.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ali Yazdani | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ali Yazdani | 50c | 35.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ali Yazdani | 47c | 31.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Walid Ahouda | 50c | 31.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ali Yazdani | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Walid Ahouda | 49c | 28.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Walid Ahouda | 55c | 27.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Walid Ahouda | 51c | 25.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Walid Ahouda | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ali Yazdani | 45c | 23.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Ali Yazdani | 71c | 20.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…c524backed Ali Yazdani | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Walid Ahouda | 78c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.