Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Kaue Noatto vs Luka Ono
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd1165cf0c2e7f05ff037b21ba4113bc0c33c18369d92ea6af3c58850f6ebcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaue Noattoof Kaue Noatto, Luka Ono
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x056c…a69abacked Kaue Noatto | 64c | 1,201$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Luka Ono | 14c | 673.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Luka Ono | 37c | 535.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.21 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Luka Ono | 30c | 486.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kaue Noatto | 74c | 412.12$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luka Ono | 24c | 344.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Luka Ono | 21c | 287.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luka Ono | 37c | 260.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luka Ono | 36c | 220.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luka Ono | 20c | 214.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luka Ono | 20c | 194.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kaue Noatto | 64c | 182.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Luka Ono | 58c | 172.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kaue Noatto | 77c | 166.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Kaue Noatto | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Kaue Noatto | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Kaue Noatto | 76c | 116.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Kaue Noatto | 78c | 109.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kaue Noatto | 80c | 92.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Luka Ono | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Luka Ono | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Kaue Noatto | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Kaue Noatto | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Kaue Noatto | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kaue Noatto | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Luka Ono | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…2605backed Kaue Noatto | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kaue Noatto | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Luka Ono | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Kaue Noatto | 76c | 31.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Kaue Noatto | 64c | 29.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Luka Ono | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.