Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Marta Lombardini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2001c4cba25e7160635ddc53c96e5b499c77e677032570aa2dd94e7b93440506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ajla Tomljanovicof Ajla Tomljanovic, Marta Lombardini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marta Lombardini | 11c | 14,813$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marta Lombardini | 8c | 8,817$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Marta Lombardini | 4c | 5,018$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Marta Lombardini | 23c | 4,385$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Marta Lombardini | 0c | 3,504$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marta Lombardini | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Marta Lombardini | 18c | 2,055$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.22 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Marta Lombardini | 12c | 1,234$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Marta Lombardini | 16c | 1,230$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Marta Lombardini | 3c | 1,222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Marta Lombardini | 7c | 760.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Marta Lombardini | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Marta Lombardini | 10c | 400.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Marta Lombardini | 10c | 328.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…50f0backed Marta Lombardini | 8c | 319.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Marta Lombardini | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…3ebdbacked Marta Lombardini | 6c | 262.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Marta Lombardini | 8c | 230.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Marta Lombardini | 14c | 181$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Marta Lombardini | 7c | 178.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Marta Lombardini | 8c | 149.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marta Lombardini | 11c | 138.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Marta Lombardini | 9c | 130.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Marta Lombardini | 14c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 78c | 82.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 79c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.